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		<title>&#8235;Using Geospatial Analysis Tools for Nonproliferation Research&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2011/09/using-geospatial-analysis-tools-for-nonproliferation-research/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2011/09/using-geospatial-analysis-tools-for-nonproliferation-research/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 07 Sep 2011 08:56:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diplomacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonproliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ישראל]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

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		<title>&#8235;קצת על ההיסטוריה של הרעיון הדבילי לעצירת דליפת הנפט&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2010/06/%d7%a7%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%94%d7%94%d7%99%d7%a1%d7%98%d7%95%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%94-%d7%a9%d7%9c-%d7%94%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%93%d7%91%d7%99%d7%9c%d7%99-%d7%9c%d7%a2%d7%a6%d7%99/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2010/06/%d7%a7%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%94%d7%94%d7%99%d7%a1%d7%98%d7%95%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%94-%d7%a9%d7%9c-%d7%94%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%93%d7%91%d7%99%d7%9c%d7%99-%d7%9c%d7%a2%d7%a6%d7%99/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Jun 2010 11:29:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[Documentary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[On the net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[atomic depth charge]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[navy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Oil spill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[underwater nuclear experiment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=1385</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;ביום ראשון כתבתי כאן על הרעיון לפוצץ פצצה גרעינית בכדי לעצור את דליפת הנפט שבחופיה המזרחיים של ארה&#34;ב. כפי שציין Colbert הרוסים ניסוי את השיטה הזו מספר פעמים, אך הם עשו זאת על האדמה (כפי שניתן לראות בסרטון ה Youtube). למעשה הפעם היחידה שנעשה פיצוץ תת ימי במים עמוקים (לא לגונות וכד') הייתה במהלך ניסוי [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="350"><param name="movie" value="CpPNQoTlacU"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent" ></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/CpPNQoTlacU" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="350"></embed></object></p>
<p>ביום ראשון כתבתי <a href="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2010/06/%D7%9B%D7%99%D7%A6%D7%93-%D7%9C%D7%A2%D7%A6%D7%95%D7%A8-%D7%93%D7%9C%D7%99%D7%A4%D7%AA-%D7%A0%D7%A4%D7%98-%D7%90%D7%95-%D7%9B%D7%9E%D7%94-%D7%A8%D7%A2%D7%99%D7%95%D7%9F-%D7%99%D7%9B%D7%95%D7%9C-%D7%9C/" target="_blank">כאן </a>על הרעיון לפוצץ פצצה גרעינית בכדי לעצור את דליפת הנפט שבחופיה המזרחיים של ארה&quot;ב. כפי שציין Colbert הרוסים ניסוי את השיטה הזו מספר פעמים, אך הם עשו זאת על האדמה (כפי שניתן לראות בסרטון ה Youtube).</p>
<p>למעשה הפעם היחידה שנעשה פיצוץ תת ימי במים עמוקים (לא לגונות וכד') הייתה במהלך ניסוי 1955 Wigwam test שנערך כ-643 ק&quot;מ (400 מייל) דרום מערבית לסאן דיאגו. לאחר ארבעה ימים, תחנות ניטור <a href="http://camplajolla.org/tour.php?id=112" target="_blank">מצאו </a>בסאן דיאגו רמת קרינת רקע הגבוהה פי 10-20 מהרמה הנורמאלית, רמה זו נשארה כתשעה ימים.</p>
<p>כאמור, אף אחד לא מאמין באמת שזה רעיון טוב, אבל זה אחלה תרוץ להעלות את הסרט של הניסוי.</p>
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		<title>&#8235;תומס שלינג (Thomas Schelling) על איראן&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2010/04/%d7%aa%d7%95%d7%9e%d7%a1-%d7%a9%d7%9c%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%92-thomas-schelling-%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2010/04/%d7%aa%d7%95%d7%9e%d7%a1-%d7%a9%d7%9c%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%92-thomas-schelling-%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Apr 2010 21:29:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Diplomacy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[lecture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonproliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[איראן]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[הרצאה]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Thomas Schelling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[אטום]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תומס שלינג]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=1258</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;תומס שלינג (Thomas Schelling) הוא כלכלן, פרופסור ליחסים בינלאומיים וזוכה פרס נובל לכלכלה (2005). סיפרו The Strategy of Conflict (1960), היה מחקר חלוץ בתורת המיקוח והתנהגות אסטרטגית ונחשב לאחד ממאה הספרים בעלי ההשפעה הגדולה ביותר במערב משנת 1945. התיאוריות הכלכליות של שלינג אודות מלחמה הורחבו בספרו Arms and Influence (1966).ספר זה נחשב בעיני כאחד הספרים [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p style="text-align: center;"><object width="425" height="350"><param name="movie" value="sHR4PlAltqY"></param><param name="wmode" value="transparent" ></param><embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/sHR4PlAltqY" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="350"></embed></object></p>
<p>תומס שלינג (Thomas Schelling) הוא כלכלן, פרופסור ליחסים בינלאומיים וזוכה פרס נובל לכלכלה (2005). סיפרו <em>The Strategy of Conflict</em> (1960), היה מחקר חלוץ בתורת המיקוח והתנהגות אסטרטגית <a href="http://www.interleaves.org/%7Erteeter/grttls.html">ונחשב</a> לאחד ממאה הספרים בעלי ההשפעה הגדולה ביותר במערב משנת 1945.</p>
<p>התיאוריות הכלכליות של שלינג אודות מלחמה הורחבו בספרו <em>Arms and Influence</em> (1966).ספר זה נחשב בעיני כאחד הספרים הטובים ביותר בתחום האסטרטגיה. לאחר זכייתו בפרס הנובל שלינג פרש מחיי האקדמיה ומאז נשמעת מדי פעם השאלה כיצד שלינג היה מנתח מקרה כזה או אחר.</p>
<p>ב – 16 לחודש,  The New America Foundation ערכו כנס שעסק באיראן מבלי לנסות לענות בעצמם על שאלה זו, במקום זאת הם בחרו לארח את תומאס שלינג ולתת לו לענות לבד. ההרצאה מרתקת.<br />
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		<title>&#8235;על שולחן הקריאה- איראן בונה מרעום לפצצה גרעינית&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/12/%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%97%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f-%d7%91%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%9e%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%9c%d7%a4%d7%a6%d7%a6%d7%94-%d7%92%d7%a8/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/12/%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%97%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f-%d7%91%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%9e%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%9c%d7%a4%d7%a6%d7%a6%d7%94-%d7%92%d7%a8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Dec 2009 06:12:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonproliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[איראן]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[על שולחן הקריאה]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uranium deuteride]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=991</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;הטימס מפרסם כי השיג מסמכים מודיעין אשר מראים כי איראן עובדת על מרעום (Trigger) לנשק הגרעיני שלה. ע&#34;פ הטיימס איראן בונה מרעום המבוסס על Uranium deuteride שאין לו ממש שימוש בתעשייה הגרעין האזרחית. One formula stands out in the documents obtained by The Times: UD3, or uranium deuteride. Independent experts have confirmed that the only [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p style="text-align: right;">הטימס <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6955351.ece" target="_blank">מפרסם </a>כי השיג מסמכים מודיעין אשר מראים כי איראן עובדת על מרעום (Trigger) לנשק הגרעיני שלה. ע&quot;פ <a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6955238.ece" target="_blank">הטיימס </a>איראן בונה מרעום המבוסס על Uranium deuteride שאין לו ממש שימוש בתעשייה הגרעין האזרחית.</p>
<blockquote style="text-align: left;" dir="ltr"><p>One formula stands out in the documents obtained by The Times: UD3, or uranium deuteride. Independent experts have confirmed that the only possible use for UD3 is as a neutron source, the trigger to the chain reaction for a nuclear explosion.<br />
Critically, while other neutron sources have possible civilian uses, UD3 has only one application — to be the metaphorical match that lights a nuclear bomb.</p>
<p>UD3, when used in a neutron initiator, emits a stream of neutrons that ignite the core of a bomb, either weapons-grade uranium or plutonium. The stream of neutrons is released using high explosives to compress a core of solid UD3, creating fusion.</p>
<p>Foreign intelligence agencies are closely monitoring all of Iran’s weapons activities and a test explosion would not go unnoticed, which poses a problem to the covert development of a nuclear weapon.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote style="text-align: left;" dir="ltr"><p>An explosion could be explained as conventional weapons testing, but not if traces of uranium were left behind from the use of UD3. Such a discovery would be regarded as proof of weapons testing, and as a statement of Iran’s nuclear intent.<br />
In the documents obtained by The Times, Iranian military scientists suggest a way around the problem: by running surrogate tests that substitute titanium deuteride for the uranium compound. They suggest “continuing the work of replacement materials such as TiD2 [titanium deuteride] in order to avoid U [Uranium] pollution in the production of UD3”.</p></blockquote>
<blockquote style="text-align: left;" dir="ltr"><p>Titanium deuteride would behave in the same way, producing a measurable flow of neutrons, but without leaving the traces of uranium. The explosion would also be smaller.</p></blockquote>
<p style="text-align: right;">ה- ISIS <a href="http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/farsi-and-english-versions-of-document-on-neutron-initiator/" target="_blank">פרסם </a>את המסמך שהגיע לידי הטיימס בערבית ובאנגלית וכמובן שיש גם <a href="http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/new-document-reopens-question-on-whether-irans-nuclear-weaponization-work-c/" target="_blank">ניתוח </a>של העניין</p>
<p>ג'פרי מה- ACW <a href="http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2567/uranium-deuteride-initiators" target="_blank">מאשר </a>חלק מהמפורסם בטיימס, אשר טען כי גם פקיסטן  (מקור חשוב של התוכנית הגרעינית האיראנית) עשתה שימוש במרעום מסוג זה. לפני זה  הוא דואג להזכיר כי בעבר איראן <a href="http://www.iranwatch.org/privateviews/NCRI/perspex-ncri-neutroninitiator-020305.htm" target="_blank">הואשמה </a>בניסיון לבנות מרעום מסוג מקובל יותר (מסוג פלוטוניום בריליום Po-Be).</p>
<p>אחת ההוכחות היפות שג'פרי מעלה היא תמונה של A.Q Khan אבי הפצצה הפקיסטנית (התמונה פורסמה במקור בעטיפה של סיפרו של Khan) . בקצה אחד של הלוח מצוייר המנגנון ובקצה השני קאן מחזיק כדור אשר מדמה את גודלו.</p>
<p><img style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=politicalthin-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=9693508211" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></p>
<p><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-992" title="1657" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/12/1657-300x212.jpg" alt="1657" width="300" height="212" /></p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/9693508211?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=politicalthin-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=9693508211">Dr. A. Q. Khan on Science and Education</a></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">שווה  גם לקרוא את הכתבה <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/12/13/AR2009121303293.html" target="_blank">שפורסמה היום בוושינגטון פוסט.</a></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">למי שמעוניין להרחיב יותר את הקריאה בנושא, כדאי לקרוא את  <a href="http://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0BxegYVIuO0PqMTRmNDgzMjgtNjYyOC00Y2U4LWFkYTItY2YwMmE0OTJhOWY4&amp;hl=en" target="_blank">EXPLOSIVE-DRIVEN HEMISPHERICAL IMPLOSIONS FOR GENERATING FUSION PLASMAS </a></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">
<p><a href="http://www.amazon.com/gp/product/9693508211?ie=UTF8&amp;tag=politicalthin-20&amp;linkCode=as2&amp;camp=1789&amp;creative=390957&amp;creativeASIN=9693508211"></a><img style="border:none !important; margin:0px !important;" src="http://www.assoc-amazon.com/e/ir?t=politicalthin-20&amp;l=as2&amp;o=1&amp;a=9693508211" border="0" alt="" width="1" height="1" /></p>
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		<title>&#8235;תכנון כלי נשק גרעיניים&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/11/%d7%aa%d7%9b%d7%a0%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%9b%d7%9c%d7%99-%d7%a0%d7%a9%d7%a7-%d7%92%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/11/%d7%aa%d7%9b%d7%a0%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%9b%d7%9c%d7%99-%d7%a0%d7%a9%d7%a7-%d7%92%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 09 Nov 2009 14:35:56 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[iran]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonproliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[איראן]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[design and effect of nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[IAEA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[implosion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=889</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;בסוף השבוע פורסם בתקשורת כי בידי הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית (IAEA) ראיות המעוררות חשש כי איראן ערכה ניסוי בראשי נפץ המדמים פעולה של ראש נפץ גרעיני. מדובר בראשי נפץ בעלי מנגנון IMPLOSION כפול (קריסה כלפי פנים) . מה בדיוק זה אומר ואיך זה פועל אפשר למצוא בוויקפדיה. כמובן שמדובר בהתפתחות מדאיגה, אבל זו גם הזדמנות [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>בסוף השבוע פורסם <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/nov/05/iran-tested-nuclear-warhead-design" target="_blank">בתקשורת </a>כי בידי הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית (IAEA) ראיות המעוררות חשש כי איראן ערכה ניסוי בראשי נפץ המדמים פעולה של ראש נפץ גרעיני. מדובר בראשי נפץ בעלי מנגנון IMPLOSION כפול (קריסה כלפי פנים) . מה בדיוק זה אומר ואיך זה פועל אפשר למצוא <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nuclear_weapon_design#Two-point_linear_implosion" target="_blank">בוויקפדיה.</a></p>
<p>כמובן שמדובר בהתפתחות מדאיגה, אבל זו גם הזדמנות נהדרת לשתף את המסמך <a href="http://docs.google.com/fileview?id=0BxegYVIuO0PqMDYxM2JiMzctMGI0Zi00OGEyLWJhNjYtMzVhMzIxMmNkNzgw&amp;hl=en" target="_blank">הזה</a>, שעוסק בתכנון ראשי נפץ גרעיניים.</p>
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		<title>&#8235;על שולחן הקריאה- תמונות שטח חדשות מאזור הכור הסורי&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/10/%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%97%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%aa%d7%9e%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%95%d7%aa-%d7%a9%d7%98%d7%97-%d7%97%d7%93%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%aa-%d7%9e%d7%90%d7%96%d7%95%d7%a8/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/10/%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%97%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%aa%d7%9e%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%95%d7%aa-%d7%a9%d7%98%d7%97-%d7%97%d7%93%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%aa-%d7%9e%d7%90%d7%96%d7%95%d7%a8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2009 21:53:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[israel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nonproliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[On the net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ישראל]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[סוריה]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[על שולחן הקריאה]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[AlKibar]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dair Alzour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[syria]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=862</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;הבלוג Arms Control Wonk פירסם תמונות של אזור הכור הסורי שצולמו על-ידי אחד הקוראים שלו. נ.ב. זה בלוג ששווה לעקוב אחריו בכל מקרה. Share it Hide Sites $$('div.d862').each( function(e) { e.visualEffect('slide_up',{duration:1}) });&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>הבלוג <a href="http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/2514/tourist-trip-to-halabiye" target="_blank">Arms Control Wonk פירסם </a>תמונות של אזור הכור הסורי שצולמו על-ידי אחד הקוראים שלו.</p>
<p>נ.ב.</p>
<p>זה בלוג ששווה לעקוב אחריו בכל מקרה.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;">
<div id="attachment_863" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 410px"><img class="size-full wp-image-863" title="1584" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/1584.jpg" alt="AlKibar Dair Alzour" width="400" height="300" /><p class="wp-caption-text">AlKibar - צולם על-ידי אחד מקוראי Arms control wonk </p></div>
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		<title>&#8235;על שולחן הקריאה&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/10/%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%a9%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%97%d7%9f-%d7%94%d7%a7%d7%a8%d7%99%d7%90%d7%94-6/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 08 Oct 2009 21:25:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;מכון וושינגטון למדיניות המזרח הקרוב מפרסם ניתוח מצויין של היכולות הצבאיות, תהליך קבלת ההחלטות, מערך הכוחות בשיגרה, במגננה ובמתקפה ומערך הטילים של החמאס. המחברים של Hamas in Combat: The Military Performance of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement, הם יורם כהן וגפרי וויט ושניהם עשו עבודה מצויינת. ניתן למצוא את זה כאן. ה &#8211; BBC על [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>מכון וושינגטון למדיניות המזרח הקרוב מפרסם ניתוח מצויין של היכולות הצבאיות, תהליך קבלת ההחלטות, מערך הכוחות בשיגרה, במגננה ובמתקפה ומערך הטילים של החמאס.</p>
<p style="text-align: center;"><img class="aligncenter size-medium wp-image-799" title="hamas decisionmaking" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/hamas-decisionmaking-193x300.png" alt="hamas decisionmaking" width="193" height="300" /></p>
<p>המחברים של Hamas in Combat: The Military Performance of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement, הם יורם כהן וגפרי וויט ושניהם עשו עבודה מצויינת.</p>
<p>ניתן למצוא את זה <a href="http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/templateC04.php?CID=318" target="_blank">כאן</a>.</p>
<p>ה &#8211; <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/technology/8297934.stm" target="_blank">BBC </a>על סוללה גרעינית בגודל של מטבע &quot;פני&quot;</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><img class="aligncenter" title="Via- BBC" src="http://newsimg.bbc.co.uk/media/images/46519000/jpg/_46519035_nuclear-battery.jpg" alt="" width="226" height="170" /></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">תמונות של האסונות הגרעיניים <a href="http://www.time.com/time/photogallery/0,29307,1887705,00.html" target="_blank">הגדולים ביותר</a>.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-803" title="nukes_03" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/nukes_03.jpg" alt="nukes_03" width="420" height="277" /></p>
<p style="text-align: right;">שני מדענים איראנים &quot;נעלמו&quot;, <a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2009/oct/07/iran-usa" target="_blank">איראן מאשימה את ארה&quot;ב </a>(אם לשפוט על-פי ההיסטוריה, אז רב הסיכויים שהם יודעים מה הם אומרים).</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><a href="http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/middle_east/article6860161.ece" target="_blank">TIMES ONLINE &#8211; טוען</a> כי הסיבה שהביאה את נתניהו לביקור החפוז שלו ברוסיה היא מסירת רשימה של שמות של מדענים רוסים החשודים על-ידי ישראל בסיוע לתוכנית הגרעין של איראן.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;"><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2009/10/04/world/middleeast/04nuke.html?_r=1&amp;hp" target="_blank">דוח של הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית (IAEA)</a> חושף מימדים צבאיים אפשרים בתוכנית הגרעין האיראנית.</p>
<p style="text-align: right;">בדרך מומלץ להתרחק מניתוחים של ג'ון בולטון שבדרך כלל מסתימים בהמלצה למלחמה כזו או אחרת, הפעם שווה לקרוא (וכמו תמיד עם בולטון גם לבדוק את אמיתות הטענות). הפעם <a href="http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748703628304574452933624279114.html?mod=googlenews_wsj" target="_blank">בולטון כותב </a>מדוע איראן &quot;ניצחה&quot; במשא ומתן האחרון על תוכנית הגרעין שלה.</p>
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		<title>&#8235;אלג&#039;זירה בכתבה על ההשפעה של ניסויים גרעיניים&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/09/%d7%94%d7%90%d7%a4%d7%a7%d7%98-%d7%a9%d7%9c-%d7%9e%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%9e%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%a1%d7%95%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d-%d7%92%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/09/%d7%94%d7%90%d7%a4%d7%a7%d7%98-%d7%a9%d7%9c-%d7%9e%d7%a2%d7%9c-%d7%9e%d7%90%d7%94-%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%a1%d7%95%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d-%d7%92%d7%a8%d7%a2%d7%99%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%99%d7%9d/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 08 Sep 2009 05:57:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[On the net]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[רוסיה]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear test]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ניסוי גרעיני]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;באתר פוליגון נעשו למעלה ממאה ניסויים גרעיניים מעל לאדמה. אלג'זירה יצאו לבדוק את השפעתם על האוכלוסיה במקום. Share it Hide Sites $$('div.d680').each( function(e) { e.visualEffect('slide_up',{duration:1}) });&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>באתר פוליגון נעשו למעלה ממאה ניסויים גרעיניים מעל לאדמה. אלג'זירה יצאו לבדוק את השפעתם על האוכלוסיה במקום.</p>
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		<title>&#8235;Medium Atomic Demolition Munition  -MADM&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/09/medium-atomic-demolition-munition-madm/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/09/medium-atomic-demolition-munition-madm/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 06 Sep 2009 10:03:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[nuclear weapon]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[בקרת נשק]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[תפוצה גרעינית]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[MADM]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Medium Atomic Demolition Munition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[נשק גרעיני]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;כאילו שכל הרעיון של מוקש לא מרושע מספיק, היה צריך להמציא אחד גרעיני. ברור שהוא לא היה ממש מוקש (אף אחד לא ממש רוצה מלחמה גרעיניתכתוצאה מאדיוט אחד ירד משבילי הסימון של קק&#34;ל) בכל מקרה התמונות נחמדות ומספקות הצצה למזעור מנגנון GUN Scientists displaying the warhead (left) and packing container for the Medium Atomic Demolition [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>כאילו שכל הרעיון של מוקש לא מרושע מספיק, היה צריך להמציא אחד גרעיני.</p>
<p>ברור שהוא לא היה ממש מוקש (אף אחד לא ממש רוצה מלחמה גרעיניתכתוצאה מאדיוט אחד ירד משבילי הסימון של קק&quot;ל)</p>
<p>בכל מקרה התמונות נחמדות ומספקות הצצה למזעור מנגנון GUN</p>
<p style="text-align: center;" dir="ltr"><img class="aligncenter size-thumbnail wp-image-668" title="madm1" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/madm1-150x150.jpg" alt="madm1" width="150" height="150" /><span style="color: #000000;"><br />
</span><span><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>Scientists displaying the        warhead (left) and packing container for the Medium Atomic Demolition        Munition (MADM), a low-yield (1- to 15-kiloton) nuclear land mine designed        to be deployed behind enemy lines and destroy tunnels, bridges, dams, and        disrupt enemy troop movements. The entire unit (including warhead) weighed        less than 400 pounds and was deployed from 1965 to 1986.</strong></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;" dir="ltr"><span><span style="color: #000000;"><strong><img class="aligncenter size-thumbnail wp-image-669" title="w_45_MADM" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/w_45_MADM-150x150.jpg" alt="w_45_MADM" width="150" height="150" /></strong></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;" dir="ltr"><span><span style="color: #000000;"><strong>ועכשיו מורכב</strong></span></span></p>
<p style="text-align: center;" dir="ltr"><span><span style="color: #000000;"><strong><img class="aligncenter size-thumbnail wp-image-670" title="Mk45madm" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/Mk45madm-150x150.jpg" alt="Mk45madm" width="150" height="150" /><br />
</strong></span></span></p>
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		<title>&#8235;איראן בונה קואליציה למניעת הפצצת הכורים שלה.&#8236;</title>		<link>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/08/%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f-%d7%91%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%a7%d7%95%d7%90%d7%9c%d7%99%d7%a6%d7%99%d7%94-%d7%9c%d7%9e%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%a2%d7%aa-%d7%94%d7%a4%d7%a6%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%94%d7%9b%d7%95%d7%a8/</link>
		<comments>http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/2009/08/%d7%90%d7%99%d7%a8%d7%90%d7%9f-%d7%91%d7%95%d7%a0%d7%94-%d7%a7%d7%95%d7%90%d7%9c%d7%99%d7%a6%d7%99%d7%94-%d7%9c%d7%9e%d7%a0%d7%99%d7%a2%d7%aa-%d7%94%d7%a4%d7%a6%d7%a6%d7%aa-%d7%94%d7%9b%d7%95%d7%a8/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2009 01:46:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>&#8235;נדב שאלתיאל&#8236;</dc:creator>				<category><![CDATA[arms control]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/?p=622</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[&#8235;הפקחים של האו&#34;ם צפויים לפרסם השבוע דו&#34;ח חדש על תוכנית הגרעין של איראן. במספר סוכנויות חדשות ישנם דיווחים על מקורות דיפלומטיים בוינה (Vienna) המספרים על לחץ דיפלומטי מצד מדינות מערביות על הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית להסיר את החיסיון מעל פרטים שנחשפו על-ידי סוכנויות מודיעין. איראן כמובן עוצרת כל מה שזז ומריח כמו זר שעשוי לרגל [...]&#8236;]]></description>			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div dir="rtl"><p>הפקחים של האו&quot;ם צפויים לפרסם השבוע דו&quot;ח חדש על תוכנית הגרעין של איראן. במספר סוכנויות חדשות ישנם דיווחים על מקורות דיפלומטיים בוינה (<span>Vienna) </span>המספרים על לחץ דיפלומטי מצד מדינות מערביות על הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית להסיר את החיסיון מעל פרטים שנחשפו על-ידי סוכנויות מודיעין.</p>
<p>איראן כמובן עוצרת כל מה שזז ומריח כמו זר שעשוי לרגל אחרי תוכניות הגרעין. לאחרונה איראן עצרה מורה לצרפתית <span id="main" style="visibility: visible;"><span id="search" style="visibility: visible;"><em>באיספהאן (</em></span></span><span id="ctl00_body_spnBody">Isfahan) שאם להיות כנים היו לה את כל הסיבות לחשוד בה.</span></p>
<p><span> </span></p>
<div id="attachment_623" class="wp-caption aligncenter" style="width: 160px"><img class="size-thumbnail wp-image-623" title="Clotilde Reiss" src="http://www.political-thinker.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/08/jalili20090826152622828-150x150.jpg" alt="Clotilde Reiss במהלך המשפט באיראן" width="150" height="150" /><p class="wp-caption-text">Clotilde Reiss במהלך המשפט באיראן</p></div>
<p>רייס למדה גאוגרפיה פוליטית ועברה תוכנית הכשרה במכון הצרפתי לאנרגיה אטומית (CEA). בשנת 2007 היא פרסמה מאמר מדעי שכותרתו <span id="ctl00_body_spnBody"><em>Understating Iranian Policy during the Nuclear Crisis.</em> רייס בחרה ללמד צרפתית באיספהאן בה איראן מבצעת את העשרת האורניום. האיראנים לא שוכחים לציין כי רייס לימדה באונברסיטה טכנולוגית בה לא לומדים מדעי חברה (התחום שלה). המערב ורייס כמובן טוענים כי הפשע האמיתי שאותו ביצעה רייס הוא השתתפות בהפגנות בטהרן כנגד הנשיא אחמדינגאד.</span></p>
<p><span>מאמצי הריגול על תוכנית הגרעין של איראן אינם חדשים והם גם לא מלחיצים את איראן כמו התפתחות חדשה ומדאיגה בזירה הבינלאומית. כיודע ג'ורג' מיטשל נפגש השבוע עם נתניהו בלונדון וע&quot;פ הגרדיאן הוא נשא עימו את המסר:<em>&quot;</em></span>Iran is an existential threat to Israel; settlements are not.&quot;</p>
<p>משמעות הדבר היא כי הממשל בוושינגטון מוכן ומנסה להשתמש בפעולות כנגד איראן כמנוף לחץ לשם הקפאת הבניה בהתנחלויות והתנעת תהליך השלום. נתניהו אמר לאחר פגישתו עם גורדון בראון (ראש ממשלת בריטניה) כי סנקציות חזקות כנגד איראן עשויות למנוע מתקפה צבאית ישראלית כנגד המתקנים הגרעיניים של איראן.</p>
<p>גבריאלה שלו (שגרירת ישראל באו&quot;ם), הודיעה כי נתניהו ומחמוד עבאס עשויים להפגש יחד עם אובמה בסוף חודש הבא. צרפת (שהודיע כי תתמוך בסנקציות כנגד איראן) ורוסיה הציעו לארח את המפגש.</p>
<p>כבר רצות שמועות ברשת כי אובמה מתכוון להודיע על פריצת הדרך שהושגה בסוף החודש הבא עם פתיחת המושב באו&quot;ם או במפגש ה G20.</p>
<p>איראן מצדה מתכננת את המופע שלה בסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה גרעינית והיא מגבשת תמיכה בהצעה לאסור תקיפות מהאוויר של מתקני גרעין אזרחיים. איראן הצליחה לאסוף סביבה כ-100 מדינות התומכות ביוזמה. מדינות אלו שייכות לגוש הניטראלי המונה כ-118 מדינות והן שלחו מכתב תמיכה בהצעה האיראנית לסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית.</p>
<p>איראן מתכננת להגיש הצעה זאת כאשר הסוכנות הבינלאומית לאנרגיה אטומית תפגש בחודש הבא (החל מה-14 לספטמבר). יש לציין כי הצעה דומה כבר עברה בסוכנות בשנת 1990, אך איראן מצליחה לשכנע את המדינות כי צורך להעביר החלטה חדשה עקב הנזק הבינלאומי אשר עשוי להגרם בהפצצה של כורים.</p>
<p>(אני מתאר לעצמי שאין צורך להזכיר את התרגיל האווירי שישראל ערכה מעל הים התיכון ואת מעבר הצוללות הגרעיניות למפרץ אילת)</p>
<p>טוב, זהו להיום למרות שאפשר להרחיב&#8230;, כרגיל במידה ויש שאלות בעניין או משהו ששווה להרחיב עליו את הדיון &#8211; אל תהססו להגיב ואני אנסה למצוא זמן ולחזור עם תשובות.</p>
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